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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

44%

Nice

2.25

23%

Draw

4.36

33%

Rennes

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Nice xG

Total xG

3.27

1.50

Rennes xG

44%
23%
33%
NiceDrawRennes

2.25

44%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

22%

Nice

4.47

17%

Rennes

5.90

Win to Nil

10%

Nice

10.06

6%

Rennes

18.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.7 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.7 10.1 7.5 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.9 6.7 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 3.5 5.3 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.775
λ Away (xG) 1.497
Total xG 3.272
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.174
Nice attack strength 1.018
Nice defence strength 1.182
Rennes attack strength 1.079
Rennes defence strength 1.200
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58