Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

20:05

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

22%

Nice

4.48

22%

Draw

4.57

56%

Paris Saint Germain

1.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Nice xG

Total xG

3.12

1.96

Paris Saint Germain xG

22%
22%
56%
NiceDrawParis Saint Germain

4.48

22%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

1.79

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

14%

Nice

7.06

31%

Paris Saint Germain

3.20

Win to Nil

3%

Nice

31.63

17%

Paris Saint Germain

5.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 8.7 8.5 5.5 2.7 1.1
1 5.1 10.1 9.8 6.4 3.1 1.2
2 3.0 5.8 5.7 3.7 1.8 0.7
3 1.2 2.3 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.3
4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.163
λ Away (xG) 1.955
Total xG 3.118
League avg home goals 1.444
League avg away goals 1.169
Nice attack strength 0.901
Nice defence strength 1.374
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.217
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.894
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 59