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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

61%

Nice

1.65

21%

Draw

4.70

18%

Paris FC

5.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Nice xG

Total xG

2.96

0.98

Paris FC xG

61%
21%
18%
NiceDrawParis FC

1.65

61%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

5.55

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

38%

Nice

2.66

14%

Paris FC

7.28

Win to Nil

23%

Nice

4.39

2%

Paris FC

40.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.985
λ Away (xG) 0.980
Total xG 2.965
League avg home goals 1.737
League avg away goals 1.199
Nice attack strength 0.988
Nice defence strength 0.843
Paris FC attack strength 0.970
Paris FC defence strength 1.157
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 5