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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

44%

Nice

2.26

25%

Draw

3.99

31%

Metz

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Nice xG

Total xG

3.21

1.45

Metz xG

44%
25%
31%
NiceDrawMetz

2.26

44%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

24%

Nice

4.25

17%

Metz

5.83

Win to Nil

10%

Nice

9.62

5%

Metz

18.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.1 10.3 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 9.1 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 3.7 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.763
λ Away (xG) 1.447
Total xG 3.210
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Nice attack strength 0.813
Nice defence strength 1.234
Metz attack strength 0.902
Metz defence strength 1.474
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33