Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

43%

Nice

2.34

27%

Draw

3.74

31%

Marseille

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Nice xG

Total xG

2.50

1.12

Marseille xG

43%
27%
31%
NiceDrawMarseille

2.34

43%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.28

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

33%

Nice

3.06

25%

Marseille

3.96

Win to Nil

14%

Nice

7.17

8%

Marseille

12.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.2 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.7 7.1 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 8.7 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 1.120
Total xG 2.497
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.194
Nice attack strength 1.097
Nice defence strength 0.859
Marseille attack strength 1.092
Marseille defence strength 0.760
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46