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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

29%

Nice

3.42

26%

Draw

3.83

45%

Marseille

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Nice xG

Total xG

3.41

1.89

Marseille xG

29%
26%
45%
NiceDrawMarseille

3.42

29%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.15

Clean Sheet

15%

Nice

6.64

22%

Marseille

4.57

Win to Nil

4%

Nice

22.71

10%

Marseille

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.2 5.9 3.7 1.8 0.7
1 5.0 9.5 9.0 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.2 6.8 4.3 2.0 0.8
3 1.9 3.6 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.519
λ Away (xG) 1.893
Total xG 3.412
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.287
Nice attack strength 1.307
Nice defence strength 0.994
Marseille attack strength 1.479
Marseille defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52