Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

43%

Nice

2.30

27%

Draw

3.73

30%

Lyon

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Nice xG

Total xG

2.48

1.09

Lyon xG

43%
27%
30%
NiceDrawLyon

2.30

43%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

33%

Nice

2.99

25%

Lyon

3.99

Win to Nil

15%

Nice

6.87

7%

Lyon

13.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 2.478
League avg home goals 1.637
League avg away goals 1.228
Nice attack strength 0.960
Nice defence strength 0.856
Lyon attack strength 1.041
Lyon defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41