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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

20:05

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

23%

Nice

4.31

23%

Draw

4.33

54%

Lens

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

0 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Nice xG

Total xG

3.48

2.12

Lens xG

23%
23%
54%
NiceDrawLens

4.31

23%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

12%

Nice

8.32

26%

Lens

3.90

Win to Nil

3%

Nice

35.89

14%

Lens

7.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.5 6.9 4.9 2.6 1.1
1 4.2 8.9 9.4 6.7 3.5 1.5
2 2.9 6.0 6.4 4.5 2.4 1.0
3 1.3 2.7 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.5
4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 2.119
Total xG 3.479
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.306
Nice attack strength 0.819
Nice defence strength 1.329
Lens attack strength 1.221
Lens defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64