Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

39%

Nice

2.58

27%

Draw

3.66

34%

Le Havre

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Nice xG

Total xG

2.61

1.25

Le Havre xG

39%
27%
34%
NiceDrawLe Havre

2.58

39%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

29%

Nice

3.50

26%

Le Havre

3.88

Win to Nil

11%

Nice

9.03

9%

Le Havre

11.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.5 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.610
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.187
Nice attack strength 0.817
Nice defence strength 1.447
Le Havre attack strength 0.730
Le Havre defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62