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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

65%

Nice

1.54

20%

Draw

4.98

15%

Auxerre

6.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Nice xG

Total xG

3.27

1.01

Auxerre xG

65%
20%
15%
NiceDrawAuxerre

1.54

65%

Home win

4.98

20%

Draw

6.61

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

36%

Nice

2.75

10%

Auxerre

9.54

Win to Nil

24%

Nice

4.25

2%

Auxerre

63.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 7.4 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.1 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.255
λ Away (xG) 1.013
Total xG 3.268
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.402
Nice attack strength 1.175
Nice defence strength 0.777
Auxerre attack strength 0.931
Auxerre defence strength 1.285
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25