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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

CANC

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

34%

Nantes

2.95

26%

Draw

3.87

40%

Toulouse

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Nantes xG

Total xG

3.10

1.62

Toulouse xG

34%
26%
40%
NantesDrawToulouse

2.95

34%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

20%

Nantes

5.07

23%

Toulouse

4.38

Win to Nil

7%

Nantes

14.93

9%

Toulouse

10.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 7.3 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
1 6.7 10.8 8.8 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.0 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.4 3.9 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 1.623
Total xG 3.101
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Nantes attack strength 0.919
Nantes defence strength 1.111
Toulouse attack strength 1.123
Toulouse defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67