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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

36%

Nantes

2.79

28%

Draw

3.62

37%

Toulouse

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.41

1.21

Toulouse xG

36%
28%
37%
NantesDrawToulouse

2.79

36%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

30%

Nantes

3.36

30%

Toulouse

3.30

Win to Nil

11%

Nantes

9.37

11%

Toulouse

9.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 10.9 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.0 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.406
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.424
Nantes attack strength 0.859
Nantes defence strength 0.812
Toulouse attack strength 1.047
Toulouse defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64