Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

38%

Nantes

2.62

28%

Draw

3.59

34%

Stade Brestois 29

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.76

1.33

Stade Brestois 29 xG

38%
28%
34%
NantesDrawStade Brestois 29

2.62

38%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

26%

Nantes

3.79

24%

Stade Brestois 29

4.17

Win to Nil

10%

Nantes

9.92

8%

Stade Brestois 29

12.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.4 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 12.0 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.6 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.428
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 2.761
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.198
Nantes attack strength 0.820
Nantes defence strength 1.323
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.840
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62