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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

40%

Nantes

2.48

31%

Draw

3.21

28%

Stade Brestois 29

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.65

1.20

Stade Brestois 29 xG

40%
31%
28%
NantesDrawStade Brestois 29

2.48

40%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

30%

Nantes

3.30

23%

Stade Brestois 29

4.27

Win to Nil

12%

Nantes

8.19

7%

Stade Brestois 29

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.5 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.3 12.3 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 8.9 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.6 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.451
λ Away (xG) 1.195
Total xG 2.646
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.303
Nantes attack strength 0.836
Nantes defence strength 1.029
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.891
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54