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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

53%

Nantes

1.90

26%

Draw

3.78

21%

Rennes

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.30

0.83

Rennes xG

53%
26%
21%
NantesDrawRennes

1.90

53%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

44%

Nantes

2.29

23%

Rennes

4.38

Win to Nil

23%

Nantes

4.35

5%

Rennes

20.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 8.3 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 14.7 12.2 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 10.9 9.0 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.4 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 0.827
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.659
League avg away goals 1.222
Nantes attack strength 0.751
Nantes defence strength 0.747
Rennes attack strength 0.907
Rennes defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38