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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

18%

Nantes

5.61

20%

Draw

5.07

62%

Paris Saint Germain

1.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Nantes xG

Total xG

3.28

2.19

Paris Saint Germain xG

18%
20%
62%
NantesDrawParis Saint Germain

5.61

18%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

1.60

62%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

11%

Nantes

8.98

34%

Paris Saint Germain

2.97

Win to Nil

2%

Nantes

50.39

21%

Paris Saint Germain

4.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 8.2 9.0 6.6 3.6 1.6
1 4.1 9.0 9.8 7.2 3.9 1.7
2 2.2 4.9 5.4 3.9 2.1 0.9
3 0.8 1.8 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.3
4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.089
λ Away (xG) 2.195
Total xG 3.284
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.429
Nantes attack strength 0.863
Nantes defence strength 0.888
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.729
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63