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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

69%

Nantes

1.46

16%

Draw

6.17

15%

Metz

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.74

Nantes xG

Total xG

4.00

1.26

Metz xG

69%
16%
15%
NantesDrawMetz

1.46

69%

Home win

6.17

16%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

28%

Nantes

3.52

6%

Metz

15.50

Win to Nil

19%

Nantes

5.14

1%

Metz

101.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2
1 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 6.9 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.3 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 4.3 5.4 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.741
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 4.000
League avg home goals 1.727
League avg away goals 1.244
Nantes attack strength 0.854
Nantes defence strength 1.277
Metz attack strength 0.792
Metz defence strength 1.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 10