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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

32%

Nantes

3.14

29%

Draw

3.51

40%

Marseille

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.76

1.46

Marseille xG

32%
29%
40%
NantesDrawMarseille

3.14

32%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

23%

Nantes

4.32

27%

Marseille

3.65

Win to Nil

7%

Nantes

13.57

11%

Marseille

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.3 6.8 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 8.2 12.0 8.8 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.8 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.294
λ Away (xG) 1.464
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.308
Nantes attack strength 0.801
Nantes defence strength 1.215
Marseille attack strength 0.921
Marseille defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65