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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

27%

Nantes

3.65

31%

Draw

3.26

42%

Lyon

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.71

1.51

Lyon xG

27%
31%
42%
NantesDrawLyon

3.65

27%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

22%

Nantes

4.54

30%

Lyon

3.30

Win to Nil

6%

Nantes

16.56

13%

Lyon

7.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.1 7.6 3.8 1.5 0.4
1 8.0 12.1 9.1 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.8 7.2 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 1.512
Total xG 2.707
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.288
Nantes attack strength 0.855
Nantes defence strength 1.069
Lyon attack strength 1.099
Lyon defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52