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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

53%

Nantes

1.89

26%

Draw

3.83

21%

Lorient

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.35

0.84

Lorient xG

53%
26%
21%
NantesDrawLorient

1.89

53%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

43%

Nantes

2.32

22%

Lorient

4.52

Win to Nil

23%

Nantes

4.39

5%

Lorient

21.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 8.0 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 14.4 12.1 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.1 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 5.4 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.508
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.351
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.197
Nantes attack strength 0.714
Nantes defence strength 1.342
Lorient attack strength 0.524
Lorient defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 12