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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

31%

Nantes

3.18

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Lille

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.46

1.31

Lille xG

31%
29%
39%
NantesDrawLille

3.18

31%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

27%

Nantes

3.71

32%

Lille

3.16

Win to Nil

8%

Nantes

11.80

12%

Lille

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.2 7.3 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.8 12.9 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.6 7.4 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.150
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 2.462
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.402
Nantes attack strength 0.849
Nantes defence strength 0.982
Lille attack strength 0.953
Lille defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59