Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

23%

Nantes

4.31

30%

Draw

3.29

46%

Lens

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.29

1.38

Lens xG

23%
30%
46%
NantesDrawLens

4.31

23%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.15

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

25%

Nantes

3.97

40%

Lens

2.47

Win to Nil

6%

Nantes

17.15

19%

Lens

5.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 14.0 9.7 4.5 1.5 0.4
1 9.2 12.7 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.2 5.8 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.906
λ Away (xG) 1.380
Total xG 2.286
League avg home goals 1.555
League avg away goals 1.335
Nantes attack strength 0.740
Nantes defence strength 1.065
Lens attack strength 0.970
Lens defence strength 0.787
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56