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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

45%

Nantes

2.23

26%

Draw

3.83

29%

Auxerre

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.58

1.12

Auxerre xG

45%
26%
29%
NantesDrawAuxerre

2.23

45%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

33%

Nantes

3.06

23%

Auxerre

4.29

Win to Nil

15%

Nantes

6.84

7%

Auxerre

14.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.5 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.4 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.456
λ Away (xG) 1.120
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.218
Nantes attack strength 0.804
Nantes defence strength 0.863
Auxerre attack strength 1.064
Auxerre defence strength 1.162
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36