Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

47%

Montpellier

2.11

22%

Draw

4.51

30%

Saint Etienne

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.58

1.58

Saint Etienne xG

47%
22%
30%
MontpellierDrawSaint Etienne

2.11

47%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.23

Clean Sheet

21%

Montpellier

4.86

14%

Saint Etienne

7.40

Win to Nil

10%

Montpellier

10.27

4%

Saint Etienne

24.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.4 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 5.6 8.8 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.8 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.7 5.9 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.001
λ Away (xG) 1.582
Total xG 3.583
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.384
Montpellier attack strength 0.841
Montpellier defence strength 1.577
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.724
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.604
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25