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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

34%

Montpellier

2.90

27%

Draw

3.74

39%

Nice

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.10

1.60

Nice xG

34%
27%
39%
MontpellierDrawNice

2.90

34%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

20%

Montpellier

4.96

22%

Nice

4.49

Win to Nil

7%

Montpellier

14.37

9%

Nice

11.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 7.2 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 6.7 10.8 8.6 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.1 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 2.5 4.1 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.601
Total xG 3.103
League avg home goals 1.479
League avg away goals 1.269
Montpellier attack strength 0.981
Montpellier defence strength 1.392
Nice attack strength 0.907
Nice defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48