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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

27%

Montpellier

3.65

26%

Draw

3.89

47%

Lyon

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.38

1.93

Lyon xG

27%
26%
47%
MontpellierDrawLyon

3.65

27%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

15%

Montpellier

6.86

23%

Lyon

4.27

Win to Nil

4%

Montpellier

25.06

11%

Lyon

9.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.6 6.3 4.1 2.0 0.8
1 5.0 9.5 9.2 5.9 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.9 6.7 4.3 2.1 0.8
3 1.7 3.4 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.4
4 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.452
λ Away (xG) 1.925
Total xG 3.377
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.299
Montpellier attack strength 0.928
Montpellier defence strength 1.394
Lyon attack strength 1.063
Lyon defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55