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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

47%

Monaco

2.13

23%

Draw

4.39

30%

Toulouse

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.25

1.43

Toulouse xG

47%
23%
30%
MonacoDrawToulouse

2.13

47%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

24%

Monaco

4.17

16%

Toulouse

6.19

Win to Nil

11%

Monaco

8.89

5%

Toulouse

20.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.1 10.1 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.4
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.823
λ Away (xG) 1.429
Total xG 3.252
League avg home goals 1.694
League avg away goals 1.302
Monaco attack strength 1.279
Monaco defence strength 1.103
Toulouse attack strength 0.995
Toulouse defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42