Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

54%

Monaco

1.86

27%

Draw

3.73

19%

Rennes

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.04

1.12

Rennes xG

54%
27%
19%
MonacoDrawRennes

1.86

54%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

33%

Monaco

3.06

15%

Rennes

6.85

Win to Nil

18%

Monaco

5.70

3%

Rennes

35.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.3 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.2 10.3 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.924
λ Away (xG) 1.119
Total xG 3.043
League avg home goals 1.500
League avg away goals 1.286
Monaco attack strength 1.093
Monaco defence strength 1.040
Rennes attack strength 0.837
Rennes defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52