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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

58%

Monaco

1.72

19%

Draw

5.16

23%

Nice

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

1 – 1

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.51

Monaco xG

Total xG

4.07

1.56

Nice xG

58%
19%
23%
MonacoDrawNice

1.72

58%

Home win

5.16

19%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.69

Clean Sheet

21%

Monaco

4.74

8%

Nice

12.34

Win to Nil

12%

Monaco

8.16

2%

Nice

54.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 4.3 6.7 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
2 5.4 8.4 6.5 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 4.5 7.0 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3
4 2.8 4.4 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.513
λ Away (xG) 1.556
Total xG 4.069
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.400
Monaco attack strength 1.584
Monaco defence strength 0.966
Nice attack strength 1.151
Nice defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60