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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

51%

Monaco

1.98

26%

Draw

3.91

24%

Nantes

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.42

1.38

Nantes xG

51%
26%
24%
MonacoDrawNantes

1.98

51%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.04

Clean Sheet

25%

Monaco

3.97

13%

Nantes

7.65

Win to Nil

13%

Monaco

7.86

3%

Nantes

32.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.7 9.2 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.6 6.4 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.035
λ Away (xG) 1.380
Total xG 3.415
League avg home goals 1.528
League avg away goals 1.313
Monaco attack strength 1.266
Monaco defence strength 1.120
Nantes attack strength 0.939
Nantes defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55