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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

46%

Monaco

2.16

26%

Draw

3.81

27%

Lyon

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.52

1.06

Lyon xG

46%
26%
27%
MonacoDrawLyon

2.16

46%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

35%

Monaco

2.88

23%

Lyon

4.31

Win to Nil

16%

Monaco

6.22

6%

Lyon

15.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.5 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.1 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.608
League avg away goals 1.162
Monaco attack strength 1.038
Monaco defence strength 1.049
Lyon attack strength 0.869
Lyon defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50