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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

59%

Monaco

1.69

23%

Draw

4.26

17%

Lorient

5.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.53

0.80

Lorient xG

59%
23%
17%
MonacoDrawLorient

1.69

59%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

5.82

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

45%

Monaco

2.23

18%

Lorient

5.62

Win to Nil

27%

Monaco

3.77

3%

Lorient

32.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.4 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.7 11.0 4.4 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.8 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 0.804
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.190
Monaco attack strength 1.024
Monaco defence strength 1.192
Lorient attack strength 0.567
Lorient defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 17