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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

51%

Monaco

1.95

22%

Draw

4.47

26%

Le Havre

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.21

1.31

Le Havre xG

51%
22%
26%
MonacoDrawLe Havre

1.95

51%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Monaco

3.70

15%

Le Havre

6.67

Win to Nil

14%

Monaco

7.22

4%

Le Havre

25.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 10.1 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.6 6.0 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.898
λ Away (xG) 1.308
Total xG 3.206
League avg home goals 1.570
League avg away goals 1.328
Monaco attack strength 1.164
Monaco defence strength 0.880
Le Havre attack strength 1.119
Le Havre defence strength 1.039
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34