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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

65%

Monaco

1.53

21%

Draw

4.75

14%

Auxerre

7.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.43

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.51

1.08

Auxerre xG

65%
21%
14%
MonacoDrawAuxerre

1.53

65%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

7.37

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

34%

Monaco

2.95

9%

Auxerre

11.37

Win to Nil

22%

Monaco

4.52

1%

Auxerre

83.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.2 7.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.1 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 2.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.431
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 3.514
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.302
Monaco attack strength 1.174
Monaco defence strength 1.081
Auxerre attack strength 0.770
Auxerre defence strength 1.397
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19