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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

30%

Metz

3.29

26%

Draw

3.90

44%

Strasbourg

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Metz xG

Total xG

2.67

1.48

Strasbourg xG

30%
26%
44%
MetzDrawStrasbourg

3.29

30%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

23%

Metz

4.41

30%

Strasbourg

3.29

Win to Nil

7%

Metz

14.49

13%

Strasbourg

7.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 10.2 7.6 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.2 12.2 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.9 7.2 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.190
λ Away (xG) 1.483
Total xG 2.673
League avg home goals 1.594
League avg away goals 1.361
Metz attack strength 0.850
Metz defence strength 1.150
Strasbourg attack strength 0.948
Strasbourg defence strength 0.878
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34