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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

30%

Metz

3.38

27%

Draw

3.67

43%

Lyon

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Metz xG

Total xG

2.41

1.35

Lyon xG

30%
27%
43%
MetzDrawLyon

3.38

30%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

26%

Metz

3.85

34%

Lyon

2.90

Win to Nil

8%

Metz

13.04

15%

Lyon

6.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 12.1 8.1 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 9.5 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.1 6.8 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.065
λ Away (xG) 1.349
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.256
Metz attack strength 0.777
Metz defence strength 1.089
Lyon attack strength 0.986
Lyon defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 52