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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Angers Win

33%

Metz

3.07

29%

Draw

3.39

38%

Angers

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Metz xG

Total xG

2.15

1.13

Angers xG

33%
29%
38%
MetzDrawAngers

3.07

33%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

32%

Metz

3.09

36%

Angers

2.78

Win to Nil

11%

Metz

9.48

14%

Angers

7.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 6.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.023
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 2.151
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.269
Metz attack strength 0.699
Metz defence strength 1.087
Angers attack strength 0.817
Angers defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37