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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
62%
1.61
20%
4.89
18%
5.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
9.8%
Home win
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.09
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.10
1.02
Toulouse xG
MarseilleDrawToulouse
1.61
62%
Home win
4.89
20%
Draw
5.67
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
36%
2.77
12%
8.05
Win to Nil
22%
4.47
2%
45.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.086
λ Away (xG)
1.019
Total xG
3.105
League avg home goals
1.639
League avg away goals
1.199
Marseille attack strength
1.596
Marseille defence strength
0.990
Toulouse attack strength
0.858
Toulouse defence strength
0.798
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47