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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

48%

Marseille

2.10

24%

Draw

4.14

28%

Strasbourg

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Marseille xG

Total xG

3.72

1.61

Strasbourg xG

48%
24%
28%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg

2.10

48%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.57

Clean Sheet

20%

Marseille

5.02

12%

Strasbourg

8.24

Win to Nil

10%

Marseille

10.53

3%

Strasbourg

29.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 3.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 5.1 8.2 6.6 3.6 1.4 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 3.8 6.1 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.3
4 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.109
λ Away (xG) 1.614
Total xG 3.723
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 1.289
Marseille attack strength 1.205
Marseille defence strength 1.070
Strasbourg attack strength 1.170
Strasbourg defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51