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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

72%

Marseille

1.38

18%

Draw

5.66

10%

Saint Etienne

10.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

3 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.79

Marseille xG

Total xG

3.83

1.04

Saint Etienne xG

72%
18%
MarseilleDrawSaint Etienne

1.38

72%

Home win

5.66

18%

Draw

10.00

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

35%

Marseille

2.83

6%

Saint Etienne

16.25

Win to Nil

26%

Marseille

3.91

1%

Saint Etienne

162.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.1 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 8.5 8.8 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.9 8.2 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 5.5 5.7 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.788
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 3.828
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.313
Marseille attack strength 1.199
Marseille defence strength 1.058
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.749
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.539
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21