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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
75%
1.34
15%
6.71
11%
9.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
3 – 0
8.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.70
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.64
0.94
Nantes xG
MarseilleDrawNantes
1.34
75%
Home win
6.71
15%
Draw
9.46
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.32
Clean Sheet
39%
2.56
7%
14.91
Win to Nil
29%
3.44
1%
141.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.6 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.702
λ Away (xG)
0.941
Total xG
3.643
League avg home goals
1.575
League avg away goals
1.188
Marseille attack strength
1.439
Marseille defence strength
0.944
Nantes attack strength
0.839
Nantes defence strength
1.193
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50