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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
71%
1.41
19%
5.38
11%
9.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
13.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
13.1%
Home win
3 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.11
Marseille xG
Total xG
2.78
0.67
Montpellier xG
MarseilleDrawMontpellier
1.41
71%
Home win
5.38
19%
Draw
9.49
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.34
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
51%
1.95
12%
8.24
Win to Nil
36%
2.75
1%
78.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 13.1 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.109
λ Away (xG)
0.668
Total xG
2.777
League avg home goals
1.458
League avg away goals
1.435
Marseille attack strength
1.299
Marseille defence strength
0.941
Montpellier attack strength
0.495
Montpellier defence strength
1.114
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63