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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
70%
1.43
18%
5.51
12%
8.55
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.31
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.16
0.84
Metz xG
MarseilleDrawMetz
1.43
70%
Home win
5.51
18%
Draw
8.55
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.94
48%
BTTS No
2.06
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
10%
10.12
Win to Nil
30%
3.31
1%
86.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.315
λ Away (xG)
0.841
Total xG
3.156
League avg home goals
1.477
League avg away goals
1.191
Marseille attack strength
1.233
Marseille defence strength
1.067
Metz attack strength
0.662
Metz defence strength
1.272
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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