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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
39%
2.55
30%
3.39
31%
3.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
1 – 0
8.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.55
Marseille xG
Total xG
2.92
1.37
Lyon xG
MarseilleDrawLyon
2.55
39%
Home win
3.39
30%
Draw
3.20
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.63
39%
BTTS No
2.58
Clean Sheet
25%
3.93
21%
4.70
Win to Nil
10%
10.02
7%
15.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 11.5 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.548
λ Away (xG)
1.369
Total xG
2.917
League avg home goals
1.492
League avg away goals
1.297
Marseille attack strength
1.126
Marseille defence strength
1.022
Lyon attack strength
1.033
Lyon defence strength
0.921
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53