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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
57%
1.74
24%
4.21
19%
5.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.99
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.07
1.08
Estac Troyes xG
MarseilleDrawEstac Troyes
1.74
57%
Home win
4.21
24%
Draw
5.28
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
34%
2.95
14%
7.32
Win to Nil
19%
5.14
3%
38.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.991
λ Away (xG)
1.081
Total xG
3.072
League avg home goals
1.520
League avg away goals
1.329
Marseille attack strength
1.139
Marseille defence strength
0.957
Estac Troyes attack strength
0.850
Estac Troyes defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 0