Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

20:05

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

83%

Marseille

1.20

11%

Draw

9.38

6%

Angers

15.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.23

Marseille xG

Total xG

4.08

0.85

Angers xG

83%
11%
MarseilleDrawAngers

1.20

83%

Home win

9.38

11%

Draw

15.82

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

43%

Marseille

2.33

4%

Angers

25.28

Win to Nil

36%

Marseille

2.81

0%

Angers

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 5.5 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 9.5 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 7.7 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
5 5.0 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.230
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 4.077
League avg home goals 1.722
League avg away goals 1.205
Marseille attack strength 1.695
Marseille defence strength 0.981
Angers attack strength 0.716
Angers defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43