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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

20:05

Venue

Groupama Stadium

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

41%

Lyon

2.43

30%

Draw

3.32

29%

Toulouse

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.44

1.09

Toulouse xG

41%
30%
29%
LyonDrawToulouse

2.43

41%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

34%

Lyon

2.97

26%

Toulouse

3.85

Win to Nil

14%

Lyon

7.23

7%

Toulouse

13.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 12.8 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.347
λ Away (xG) 1.090
Total xG 2.437
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.324
Lyon attack strength 1.056
Lyon defence strength 0.933
Toulouse attack strength 0.883
Toulouse defence strength 0.827
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51