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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

59%

Lyon

1.68

21%

Draw

4.67

19%

Stade Brestois 29

5.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.02

1.03

Stade Brestois 29 xG

59%
21%
19%
LyonDrawStade Brestois 29

1.68

59%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

5.20

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

36%

Lyon

2.81

14%

Stade Brestois 29

7.25

Win to Nil

21%

Lyon

4.74

3%

Stade Brestois 29

37.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 10.0 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 6.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.981
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 3.015
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.243
Lyon attack strength 1.111
Lyon defence strength 0.837
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.994
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.151
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51