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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

39%

Lyon

2.59

26%

Draw

3.87

36%

Rennes

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.31

1.62

Rennes xG

39%
26%
36%
LyonDrawRennes

2.59

39%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.02

Clean Sheet

20%

Lyon

5.06

18%

Rennes

5.42

Win to Nil

8%

Lyon

13.12

7%

Rennes

15.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.9 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.2 10.0 8.1 4.4 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 2.9 4.8 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3
4 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.691
λ Away (xG) 1.621
Total xG 3.312
League avg home goals 1.508
League avg away goals 1.296
Lyon attack strength 1.124
Lyon defence strength 0.874
Rennes attack strength 1.432
Rennes defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65