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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

33%

Lyon

3.04

27%

Draw

3.68

40%

Paris Saint Germain

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.46

1.30

Paris Saint Germain xG

33%
27%
40%
LyonDrawParis Saint Germain

3.04

33%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

27%

Lyon

3.69

31%

Paris Saint Germain

3.18

Win to Nil

9%

Lyon

11.23

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.1 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.7 7.4 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 1.305
Total xG 2.461
League avg home goals 1.643
League avg away goals 1.178
Lyon attack strength 0.982
Lyon defence strength 0.848
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.307
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45